Coup Day in Russia: Collected Posts.
Coups are a process, with ebbs and flows. This one isn't over.
⚡️I called the coup on 26th May (see "Putin's Chef Problem" 👇🏽). If I saw it, in sparse data, Ruschist power vertical, with access to rich data, saw it too. A month ago. What does this mean?
Since then FSB, Putin, Shoigyu will have used ALL their levers to stop this coup. They had all the powers of the Ruschist state their "rightful" authority gave them. And they failed.
They failed.
Because, I assess, the Chef Saucerer (and the Ozero Cooperative Oligarch crew) has a heap of support.
Right down through the power vertical: see Russian Civil Servants' New Dilemma from 5th June - they've been facing this dilemma since at least then.
And by now they've decided.
So, filter this through your interpretation of the next few days events. The Chef has already won.
Now, 300,000 Ruschist troops in Ukraine, many now loyal to Wanger Chef, are waiting... Will the Chef tell them to leave Ukraine?
I can't envision the Chef ordering retreat from occupied Crimea. So whatever happens Ukraine will press on to liberate its people and its land - see "What Keeps Russia in Crimea? Crimea Kompromat:"
⚡️Putin's Plight.
"The Plight of the Sorcerer" is one of the oldest and most fundamental Indo-European stories.
It is replayed every time the "right" to rule an Indo-European society is transmitted between a Master Monarch and their Apprentice.
The Demons (Ozero Cooperative who think Putin needs to go) send their emissary (the Chef) to be the Sorcerer Putin's Apprentice.
The Sorcerer Putin needs the Chef Saucerer Apprentice's sauce.
Since 2012 the Chef Saucerer Apprentice's St Petersburg Disinfolklore factories have delivered Brexit, Trump, and concealed genocide by Russia in Ukraine.
The Chef Saucerer's magical 🪄Disinfolklore sauce has manipulated minds all accross the world and turned the politics and societies from India to America, and Africa to Aberdeen upside down.
The Master Magister Sorcerer Putin is grateful for the Chef Saucerer's Disinfolklore services.
The Apprentice Chef Saucerer's African alchemy delivered untold containers full of diamonds and gold to his master, Magi Putin. Chaos and coups across Africa afflicted the Magi's Chief Sorcerer's European enemies' interests.
The Chef Saucerer became essential to Magi Putin. And the Chief Sorcerer had one more plan: Ukraine.
The Chef Saucerer Apprentice was given a monopoly on all the most succulent parts of the genocide in Ukraine - see ⚡️A-Z of Russian War on Ukraine inside:
In short, after A-Z in failure Bakhmut was selected in July 2022 as an easy win by the Chief Saucerer (and the Demon Ozero Collective backing him). Then of that easy win, the Chef Saucerer would usurp the Chief Sorcerer's Putin's position.
Bakhmut was to be for the Chef Saucerer Apprentice, what Chechnya was for Putin the Chief Sorcerer: such a win could be spun through webs of Disinfolklore into the "Right" recognised by every Russian to lead Russia unopposed.
Yet, as with Plans A-Z of failure the Mother of All the Russians, Ukraine, thwarted its Child Muscovy's dastardly plan. Ukraine defeated the Chief Sorcerer Magi Putin and his Chef Saucerer's Apprentice.
Now, in desperation the Chief Sorcerer Putin is, again, trying to kill his Chef Apprentice.
His Chef Apprentice, a professional coup-starter and preventer in Africa, expected this.
So, having lost every one of their easy wins in Ukraine (see ⚡️A-Z of Russian War on Ukraine) both the Chef Sorcerer and his Apprentice the Chef Saucerer have died a thousand time.
Yet, through Disinfolklore and the intercession of the Demons backing them, each has been reborn 1000 times.
Until now: this is their last life.
And now the Demons have implanted the Chef Saucerer inside the Chief Sorcerer's stomach.
The Chief Sorcerer Magi Putin cannot kill the Chef Saucerer without going to war in the Ancient Ukrainian city of Rostov.
Rostov is the gateway through which ALL of the Chief Sorcerer Putin's materiel runs.
So if the Chief Sorcerer tries to kill his resisting Apprentice, he will die himself.
The Chief Sorcerer needs the blood from his war in Ukraine to live.
The Plight of the Master Sorcerer after he has empowered his Apprentice Saucerer is this circular firing squad.
In Indo-European mythology the solution to this problem is simple:
The Magister Sorcerer Putin grants the Chef Saucerer (and the demons backing him) his wish (the "Right" to rule Russia), in return for security.
In the Mahābhārata, the deal is made:
The Demons free the Apprentice from the Master Sorcerer's stomach, without killing the Master Sorcerer.
And, both the Master Magister Magi Sorcerer Putin and the Apprentice Chef Saucerer honour their agreement.
Today, more than ever, Putin Sorcerer faces this perennial Plight of the Sorcerer.
And who can tell if the Magister Putin is bright enough to know his only way out is to make this deal, and trust the Chef Saucerer?!
⚡️Rostov is Ukraine.
Scenario 1: Chef of Disinfolklore withdraws all troops from Ukraine, except for Crimea. Ukraine fights on, and the Chef Czar suffers a massive defeat, just as he's beginning his reign.
Scenario 2: Chef has already agreed an "orderly withdrawal" from ALL of Ukraine with Ukraine.
⚡️As Ruschist Nazi Putin faces imminent death, he still reverts to Nazi trolls like the "one-thousand-year" reich.
Fact-check: Muscovy became "Russia" in 1721, when Muscovy occupied right-bank Ukraine. Muscovy became a provincial power in September 2022 when, after a brief reoccupation of right-bank Ukraine at Kherson, it retreated from right-bank Kherson.
⚡️How long before Ruschia asks Ukraine for a temporary freeze, so that Russia can fight its own civil war in peace?
The Narcissist (Ruschia) expects its Victim (Ukraine) to give it a break.
I don't think so.
⚡️Russian civil servants dilemma extends to its Disinfolklore Factory trolls, mil bloggers, regime journalists, genocidal propagandists, television production staff,...
In short: to everyone, from the tea and coffee deliverer up the power vertical to the very top.
"Whom to signal support for, and when?" is the ONLY question that now matters in Ruschia.
The professional hired trolling Disinfolklorists themselves running Telegram accounts have to take sides. Their boss says: Cuss the Chef Saucerer and they must consider:
"Will I survive, if Chef wins the coup?"
Do I support "Chef Saucerer or Chief Sorcerer Putin?"
Smart people saw this coming a month ago, and they're ready.
It's a life and death decision:
When the Chef Saucerer celebrated the hammering to death of a Ukrainian prisoner of war he was Virtue Signalling to Ruschia: I am brutal enough to lead Ruschia.
It's the same conjuring trick Putin Sorcerer played in Chechnya.
⚡️Russian Civil War in One Photo?
Russian Emergency Ministry driver gazes at incinerated truck in Voronezh, Russia. Russian army, led by ex-head of Russia's emergency ministry just incinerated that truck.
⚡️Sole Source of Legitimacy in Russia?
Disinfolklore. Chef of Disinfolklore, Wanger Nazi leader, controls the War Magic producing factories.
Until recently "Right" resided in the Chief Sorcerer Putin. He controlled the State Disinfolklore assets. His people controlled the content creators. When Western media wanted to "Both Sides" Ukraine-war, they knew to quote Peskov / Putin / Official State media outlets.
Now, there's no longer a unified message. There's no sole authority determining what's "Right."
The Staff / Crown / Mace / Election / Inauguration is the symbol of the anointment of who determines what is Roght or Reich.
Today, in Russia, we don't have the symbols of legitimacy: Putin's surrogates and A.I. mean even the appearance of Putin no longer confers legitimacy.
Contrast with Ukraine, on and after 24th February 2022. @ZelenskyyUa communicates by iPhone every night to assure Ukrainians (and its allies) that the Sovereign is identified with one person. "Right" and the ultimate say in all matters resides in President Zelenskyy.
This is why the Wanger Nazi Chef of Disinfolklore's assassination squads tried to kill President Zelenskyy.
Contrast too the spontaneous understanding among Ukrainians instantly the invasion began about what to do.
In Ukraine - a highly decentralised community in which everyone understands the basis of legitimacy and right is their independence from Russia and the president 73% of them directly elected.
That's a fall back, which Russia doesn't have: it's a society of authoritarian followers, who need to know who is the authority before they will follow.
The Chef's Disinfolklore apparatus will persuade the Russian people, as it has already done for the Russian army, that "Right" and legitimacy no longer resides in the dictator.
In such a vacuum the Chef's Wanger Disinfolklore production army of trolls can dominate the info space.
And in a vacuum where there no longer a consensus of who controls the thunderbolt, she who controls the War Magic / Disinfolklore dominates the Right View.
And this is why Putin the Chief Sorcerer has lost.
⚡️Sympathy for the Venture Capitalists.
Silicon Valley's elite venture capitalists control 50% of America's stock of capital.
Much of Putin's money resides in VC funds. Some may even be invested in this medium I'm using to communicate my sympathy for the VC's plight.
If Ukraine had just submitted to genocide there would be no threat of secondary sanctions meaning VC's unwinding ALL funds with money beneficially owned by sanctioned oligarchs, including Putin.
Now, Putin's death is imminent, a worse problem has arisen:
For a decade sceptre ghosts will appear in Palo Alto and Mountain View claiming the "Right" to repossess Putin's hundreds-of-billions.
And these VC's won't know whom to give it to, or what to do, so opaque the structures of the beneficial owners of their funds are.
My advice? Start supporting Ukraine.
Suddenly get a conscience about genocide. Ukraine's patronage is the only way to survive this, financially speaking.
Enable, rather than obstruct, our civilisation's confiscation of ALL Ruschist state and Ruschist oligarch owned assets.
Remember Putin is said to own, beneficially, 50% of ALL Oligarch's assets.
"The Trito Myth is the most attested Indo-European story... Ukraine sees itself in Trito’s position. Ukraine’s national symbol is even the trident 🔱! Russia, like the three-headed and six-eyed serpent, has stolen Ukraine’s prosperity and security."
⚡️What Happens Now?
Everyone over the whole of Russia has a day or two to pledge allegiance to the Chef, or sign their death warrant.
Everyone inside Russia who supported Russian policy in Ukraine March 2014 will be scapegoated by the Chef's Disinfolklore apparatus
Millions of Russian leaders who supported invading Ukraine from March 2014 AND who don't denounce the Ancien Regime AND pledge loyalty to the Chef will be dealt with as Isis dealt with "infidels".
In a year every Russian between the Don and Japan will be saying: "I always knew invading Ukraine and seizing Crimea was wrong."
"....When the Chef Saucerer celebrated the hammering to death of a Ukrainian prisoner of war he was Virtue Signalling to Ruschia: I am brutal enough to lead Ruschia.
It's the same conjuring trick Putin Sorcerer played in Chechnya..."
⚡️Ukraine's case for NATO membership has strengthened vastly.
We have an objective measure of how much Ukraine has degraded Russian military and political security, inside Russia:
Ukraine could take Moscow, Rostov, and any where else inside Russia if it wanted. China could occupy 3m sq.km of Yakutia/Sakha Republic and add a space the size of India, without a shot being fired.
Remember: Wanger took eight months and lost 75,000 souls to part occupy Bakhmut, a strategic deadend.
Then that degraded Wanger force could have got to Moscow within 24 hours.
That's our metric for how rubbish Russian army is now. And Ukraine did that to Russia. Ukraine alone.
No other NATO state has the intelligence reach inside Russia, NATO's main strategic enemy.
Ukraine (and Ukraine specialists) understand vastly more about Russia than all these professional "experts" on Russia who did not foresee this.
Wanger's Disinfolklore operation is intact.
Ruschists who want to survive had best begin paying homage to the Chef.
There's NO likely successor to Putin who doesn't look like a complete lightweight next to the Warrior and Disinfolklore Magi Chef Saucerer.
Russia "experts" drone on about this or that member of the nomenklatura being a prospective leader of Russia.
Meanwhile, hiding in plain sight was the Chef doing in Ukraine what Putin did in Chechnya. Biased Russia "experts" totally missed the Chef's mastery, ambition, competence, and plausibility as a leader of Russia. They totally fell for the "Putin's Chef" troll, and missed his status as the Apprentice Saucerer to the Sorcerer Putin, despite ALL the signs over the past month.
Blood sacrifice and controlling the information space is what wins the "Right" and authority to lead Russia.
Not some bureaucratic soap opera that is fed to earnest "experts" on Russia by Russian state Disinfolklorists.
The Chef will now begin a complete retelling of recent Russian history.
Gone will be celebration of invading Ukraine in March 2014.
In a year or so it will be hard to find a Russian between the Don and the coast of Japan who admits they thought invading Ukraine in 2014 was a good idea.
The Chef will scapegoat that March 2014 decision, using his Disinfolklore assets.
Ukraine still has the opportunity to continue degrading Russia's military.
Thankfully Russia is still dumb enough to keep intercepting Ukraine's weapons with its materiel and souls.
Russian state disinfolklore operations are going to be a lot trickier now for those running them.
The nuclear card is off the table, as now effectively USA has given Ukraine security guarantees (twitter.com/decodingtrolls…) against use of nuclear weapons or Russia-created "accidents" in Zaporozhzhia.
And the Chef will be developing his kill lists for those inside Russia he will be disposing of pour encourager les autres and demonstrating his brutality. The Chef whose forces have killed hundreds of thousands of Syrians and at least 100,000 Ukrainians will have no compunction about killing 1-2 million Russians to win the "Right" to rule.
Putin only killed 1m Russians in Chechnya as the price of gaining his "authority" and "right" to rule.
Ukraine is unbeatable.
But the threat of a Russia with dastardly Disinfolklore assets and wanting revenge will be real for decades.
NATO needs Ukraine inside it, sooner rather than later.
As only Ukraine has shown it can master Russia militarily, in the intelligence, and in the information spaces.
⚡️Reverse Napoleon - Reversed. Then, Reversed again.
By invading Ukraine with insufficient supply lines even to take Kyiv, Russia, a victim of French Napoleonic imperialism, mirrored Napoleon's error.
The First "Reverse Napoleon" (which I called on 1st March 2022, as the first signs emerged the Ruschist army was rubbish).
Now, taking a different route to Napoleon, the Chef's Wanger crew (having lost 75,000 souls failing to take a small Ukrainian city in nine months) could have reached Moscow in less than 24 hours.
Russia's invasion and occupation of itself is a Napoleonic scale tribute act that must have Ukraine, Germany, Sweden, China, Japan, and Finland (and maybe even Jupiter Macron) planning to retake their historical lands from Muscovy.
Now, Russia's invasion of itself, as did Napoleon, is reversing along the same route into Belarus.
A true reversal for the current Czar that cannot be reversed.
Let's recall that if I could predict the Chef's coup had started a month ago, then FSB, Putin, and the nomenclature must have known. Yet, they couldn't prevent it.
The coup continues.