Pensées (113)
How Don trolls us. Velocity of Russian soldiers’ deaths. Peace trolling. My base assumption. In the færy tale. Why Biden hated Ukraine.
⚡️How Donald trolls us!
First raise hopes…
Then smite them.
Then raise hopes…
This is also one of the main means Pick-up artists and Russia wraps us up inside Disinfolklore Galaxies.
The other of course is Coercive Control, and Othering.
Donald IS trolling Russia using same techniques he uses to troll MAGA and now America into mental and physical world his victims (most Americans now) NEVER in their wildest nightmares felt they’d be.
But just cos Don’s trolling Duncey Putin doesn’t mean we won.
I’m confident Ukraine is led by people who are in control and understand their dominant strategy is to troll Donald, while secretly assuming at the end of it Donald will genuflect to Russia.
⚡️Velocity of death
Russia spent $160b in 2024 to lose 1/2m soldiers, capture less than 1% of Ukraine and to cause $200b material damage to Ukraine (which Russia will need to repay from future fossil fuel revenues).
Russia and China will need 100 x $160b and 50m soldiers to capture Ukraine.
Meanwhile Ukraine will destroy Russia’s power stations and oil refinery infrastructure, its navy and its army as well as its aircraft. Then Russia and China will owe Ukrainians 100 x $200b in compensation for material damage.
Velocity of Death:
136,000 Russians eliminated from the battlefield in Year One of their two-day special operation.
270,000 Russian invaders eliminated in Year Two.
500,000 invaders eliminated in Year Three.
I don’t think either Russia or China have thought through the economics.
⚡️Why We’re Such Easy Prey for Trump Trolls.
Affective biases.
Confirmation biases.
Motivated reasoning.
Dfferences in intellectual hinterlands.
Differences in emotional education.
Propagandists mesmerise, using the firehose of falsehood.
Gaslighting.
Collective control.
Grooming ("There is no truth." etc.)
Emotional hacking-straight to System One invoking Fear, Anger, Disgust, Sadness and Amusement.
Mistake.
Infections of confidence.
Wishful thinking.
Thinking that none would lie about a matter as important as this.
Failures in critical analytical capacity.
Lack of precedent.
Not investing enough energy into Thinking It Through.
Not remembering the past.
Big Lies.
Weighting comparative factors really badly.
Mistaking cause for effect, effect for cause.
Hack - Positive Trolling: Analyse generously, with ethical discipline, patiently, with joyous perseverance, focus, and insight.
⚡️Ukrainian genius strikes again!
@Petcube founder @YaroslavAzhnyuk created a solution to a problem cat owners who travel frequently experience: how to communicate remotely with their pet.
Now the serial entrepreneur has struck again: how to autonomously target invading Russian soldiers using drones. @thefourthlawai start-up claims it has almost cracked this problem.
Soon Ukrainian gamers can get back to playing games, while their drones execute commands to target Russian invaders.
⚡️What Lavrov Told Rubio: We Need 50 More Days to Kill Ukrainians.
57 days ago, Lavrov outlined plans for a last push late / summer Autumn along the lines of that outlined by Ruschist propaganda channels.
Donald agrees: you get 50 more days to kill Ukrainians.
Donald is being asked to give Ruschia one last chance to lose 100,000 souls to take few more Ukrainian villages.
Donald will take the bait.
Nothing promised will be delivered to Ukraine in a timely manner. Biden redux.
Ukraine will get to destroy another batch of Ruschist force power.
Russia’s not thinking any of this through. High on Ukrainian blood, Russia’s just charging ahead regardless of not having enough souls to conquer or occupy Ukraine.
Russia captured 4,000 sq.km of 500,000 sq.km Ukraine at a cost of 500,000 Russian soldiers’ lives in past year.
That’s less than 4km forward on each 1km of the 1,200km front line.
To capture all of Ukraine Russia needs 50m humans.
So who will occupy Ukraine when all Russian males are dead?
⚡️My base assumption is that Donald is working for the same set of Russian oligarchs who funded Paul Manafort’s work in Ukraine 2006-2014.
They want to be unsanctioned.
Donald’s only job is to persuade Putler to suspend his insatiable thirst for Ukrainian blood.
Donald is an oligarchs’ / Brighton Beach Russian mafia guys’ ambassador in a negotiation which only concerns internal Russian politics.
It’s too late for them though.
Nothing will stop Ukraine’s thirst to destroy once and for all the Russian state, and Donald is trying to sell a skyscraper (eastern Ukraine) that he doesn’t own.
⚡️Why Biden hated Ukraine.
Just before courageous Vindman blew the whistle on Trump’s illegal extortion of President Zelenskyy and Ukraine, President Zelenskyy had agreed to announce an investigation into Ruschia / Trump’s Hunter Biden troll.
That announcement on CNN was supposed to be enough to unlock the $270m in Javelin missile systems Trump was unlawfully withholding (today we understand that although those Javelins were helpful in the first two days of the invasion, they were no where near what Ukraine needed and needs to defeat Russia. That Russia managed to persuade the Obama White House that even providing Javelin anti-tank missiles costing $250,000 each would percipitate WWIII is shameful. Today, as the head of Ukraine’s Unmanned Aerial Systems army told NATO generals this week, there is no tank on earth that can withstand an attack by a $500 First Person View drone.
At the last minute, we learned from Trump’s first impeachment inquiry, President Zelenskyy was persuaded not to do the CNN interview.
Nevertheless, understandably, grieving @POTUS blames Ukraine and President Zelenskyy at least partly for the Republicans’ obsession with the Ruschian Active ‘Hunter Biden’ Measure.
From Ukraine’s perspective three US presidents have continually tried to sacrifice Ukraine to the wolves. They’ve treated the homeland of the entire Indo-European culture like they treat peripheral places.
Ukraine is lectured on corruption by the world’s most corrupt head of state ever (Donald), while even before he was inaugurated Trump was trying to persuade Zelenskyy to replace the entire @NaftogazUkraine board with Trump appointees (two Trump donors wanted to sell Ukraine a couple of container ships of LNG, and NAFTOGAS wouldn’t buy them).
As President, as vice president, Biden failed to persuade weak @BarackObama to support Ukraine’s territorial integrity.
Yet, the Ruschian Active Measure that got Donald elected was motivated by Ruschia’s desire to legalise its unlawful occupation of Ukraine.
At what point do US presidents get that Ukraine is a giant not a supplicant.
⚡️ Polish mercenaries are a staple bogeyman in Ruschist Disinfolklore- I write about their reappearance in Ruschist Disinfolklore again and again in eastern Ukraine - 2014-2022 (see Counter Disinfolklore Chapter One:
Ruschia uses such bogeymen to create a sense of fear in the minds of those Ruschists’ wish to manipulate into seeing the Ruschists’ as saviours.´:
Look what will happen to you if you don’t submit to us!
And recently I spoke about the 10,000 Polish mercenaries troll in Dresden: https://zukunftsforum-dresden.eu/2024/05/decoding-trolls-night-panel-ueber-russische-desinformations-mythen/
Now, Poland trolls Ruschia back - by organising Ukrainians into battle ready formations in Poland.
To march on Moscow, no doubt.
⚡️Donald committed 34 crimes to win the US presidency in 2016 - Why this matters?
Jurors were instructed in Donald’s criminal trial that if they had ANY doubt Trump committed the 34 counts in order to fraudulently win the 2016 presidential election, that they had to acquit Donald.
Result?
Donald was convicted.
Chris Wylie is the genius behind Cambridge Analytica (CA). Using tactics CA honed during Brexit referendum, CA created MAGA and got Donald elected.
After Chris Wylie realised what he had done, like Michael Cohen, he did everything in his power to fix the mess. Below is the transcript of. Chris Wylie explaining to the English Parliament why campaign finance violations poison results:
MP: Have you and anyone else made assessment whether this made much different to the final outcome?
Mr. Wylie: Two points on that.
“First point is -- when you are caught in the olympics doping, there is not a debate about how much illegal drug you took, or, well, he probably would have come in first anyway, or he set half of the amount. if you are caught cheating, you lose your medal. if we allow cheating in our democratic process, and we allow this amount, what about next time? what abou the time after that this is a breach of the law. this is cheating. the thing that is really important to understand here is that this is not some council race or bye election, this is a constitutional challenge to this country. if you cheat on an exam, you get a fail. if you cheat at the olympics, you lose your medal
second point, to the substance of your question, don cummings himself says this is what won brexit for them, they could not have one without aiq. they spent 40% of their budget on aiq. having seen the competitiveness of the conversion -- the effectiveness of the conversion rate on ads aiq puts out, they are incredibly effective.”
This week the European Court of Human Rights ruled that England’s refusal to properly investigate Russian interference in its election was not unlawful. As part of the judgment the court outlined the English government’s position that it could not find out any “successful” instances of interference in its elections. This was and is a deliberate attempt to conceal the complicity between paleo-conservative English politicians and paleo-conservative Russian Disinfolklore campaigns to achieve the same goals with Brexit. Chris Wylie of course gets it that interference in elections is not confined to interfering in vote counting processes.
Russia’s operations in Romania and Moldova were multidimensional and years long operations to hack every democratic institution, provide fake demonstrations, oligarch candidates, violent insurrection and a whole spectrum of tactics to overturn democracy.
reminds us that in addition to the Stormy Daniels campaign finance violation Donald was convicted for (and for which Michael Cohen served a punitive sentence), there are a further 28 substantive campaign finance violations the FEC refused to discipline Donald for.So Trump tricked electorate into electing him so that he could get “immunity,” then he hopes his crimes will be washed away. Not so fast, mate.
⚡️ In the Fairy Tale, Donald and Ruschia always triumph.
Notice the similarity in structure?
That’s Disinfolklore. An illusion. Doesn’t correspond to reality. It’s promoted by Disinfolklore.
Now, start reassessing ALL such “inevitabilities” (Ruschia always wins, Trump gets away with everything).
Such “inevitabilities” are deliberate Disinfolklore injected through repetition into our minds by those wishing to hack our consent.
⚡️MAGA to ban juries.
Juries been deciding cases in Indo-European cultures for millennia.
MAGA got a better idea: instead, cases will be determined by dint of how much cash the accused SAYS they can raise in support of their criminal behaviour.
To be clear no evidence apart from SAYING rhetorically that you raised the cash will be admissible under MAGA’s justice reforms.
Case study:
Instead of a trial lasting weeks, prosecutors say they think the crime was so heinous, accused could raise only -(minus)$2,000,000,000,000 (stealing US presidency by violating campaign finance laws is VERY serious).
Defendant counters: If convicted I would say I raised $53,000,000 within forty-eight hours.
$53m is higher than -(minus)$2,000,000,000,000.
Ergo, defendant is acquitted.
MAGA logic.