Pensées (117)
Nuclear Mirrors. Grey Zone. Stone Grave. Covid Molecular Politics. Attacking NATO. Inevitability Farming. Ruining of the Land. Nigel Porridge’s provocation trolls.
⚡️Nuclear Mirrors: Mutual Assured Destruction in Era of Russian Nuclear Blackmail.
Here @willthiel notes Putler’s explicit threats to explode Zaporizhzhia, Chornobyl and Khmelnytskyi nuclear plants.
I’ve charted the minutiae of Russia’s brutal occupation of Europe’s largest nuclear power plant in hundreds of tweets since 27 February 2022. Foreseeing this moment even as Russian forces began marching towards Europe’s largest nuclear power plant while residents tried to hold them back, I called, repeatedly, on the Black Sea states to intervene militarily, before Russia turns Black Sea into a sterile ocean: https://x.com/decodingtrolls/status/1760275533307224453?s=46
What can Ukraine do to deter Russia’s use of its brutal violence in and around Ukraine’s nuclear power plants?
Squeamish commentators prefer to let Russia’s blackmailing work than suggest ways Ukraine can neutralise Russian threats.
Ukraine, by destroying three or four electricity substations in Russia could cause a Chornobyl-type disaster. In Russia. For Russia. To deter Russia.
So Russia thought it could asymmetrically provoke a nuclear catastrophe in Europe’s largest nuclear power plant . However, Ukraine can mirror that in Russia, and should do so, even to pay Russia back for its crimes already against three of Ukraine’s nuclear power plants.
The mirror works both ways.
It is notable that post-Chornobyl modifications to Russia’s nuclear power plants were not completed.
As @OSCE’s environmental security adviser for Zaporizhzhia 2018-2022 I have followed and written hundreds of articles and tweets on Russia’s criminal, terrorist occupation of Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Russia has murdered, raped, kidnapped, held to ransom, fired hundreds of missiles and thousands of drones from Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant: https://x.com/decodingtrolls/status/1760275533307224453?s=46
War is repulsive. So is promoting the troll that Ukrainians are powerless and must submit to Russia’s attempt to troll the whole of Europe into surrender. What’s vital about @willthiel insight on how Ukraine can reak nuclear destruction on Russia is that it combats the despair Russia’s nuclear Disinfolklore attempts to troll us all into experiencing. Ukraine has agency. We too have agency. Great episode of This Week in Absurdistan, and @OckersM and @FellaShaggy afterwards:
⚡️Wrote Covid Molecular Politics (https://medium.com/geopolitical-impact-of-early-warning-covid-19/the-catechism-of-covid-molecular-politics-an-introduction-bedffe67b18) to help political boffins GET that unless they start to GET Covid’s molecular qualities, Covid’s molecular qualities gonna get us all.
⚡️Stone Grave: January 2022, just before the occupation.
When I look at the photos I attached to this four tweet thread, makes me so sad.
Russia has now mined and pillaged this ancient site, which had a near unbroken line of a 22,000 year long history as a sacred place.
I bought a lot of the guides, books, fridge magnets and whatnot from the lady staffing the entrance booth.
I regret enormously the fact that I did not buy everything there.
I wonder how she is faring, inside a brutal occupation that continues to threaten to blow up Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant some 30km north of here.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kamyana_Mohyla
⚡️Grey Zone: Luhansk to Lisbon.
Grey Zone’s spread over ~20km at Ukraine’s frontlines (https://texty.org.ua/projects/115921/liniya-frontu/) may help us understand the Grey Zone now is spread across Europe and indeed inside American cities.
Drones and lawlessness executed by the State embeds us in violence - Luhansk to Lisbon. Alas.
⚡️How we know Putler will militarily attack NATO.
Pattern recognition.
Putler went ‘double or quits’ when after occupying Crimea his agents provocateurs and army tries to spark ‘revolutions’ across left-bank Ukraine in April 2014 (only ‘succeeded’ in Luhansk and Donetsk- in Kryvyi Rih, Kharkhiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia and elsewhere the Russian clowns were run out of town).
Then he did a further ‘double or quits’ by carpet bombing Syria in September 2015 - provoked millions of refugees whose job was to destabilise Europe and persuade EU to drop the post-MH-17 sanctions.
Result? Orban, Fico and anti immigrant Law and Justice in Poland. And Brexit.
Next ‘double or quits’ was full-scale invasion.
None of these actions made ‘rational’ sense. They’ve led to disaster after disaster for Russia.
Yet, given that’s their playbook. Pattern Recognition:
Expect an invasion by Russia of a NATO country. Or non-NATO country. Soon.
Note that Russia has already invaded and determined the information space in almost every European country.
Its network of agents provocateurs antivaxx, anti-immigrant, pro-peace, anti-Ukraine is well embedded. They threaten politicians create havoc on our streets, recruit the disaffected. Transform our cultures. Billions of bots affect and interfere in our elections, which was unthinkable even ten years ago. They prepare the ground for what’s coming next.
Result for Russia will be its destruction. Yet, we must prepare for it and be ready.
⚡️Drone Sieges: A new strategic weapon.
As @ZarinaZabrisky has been reporting since July 2025, Russia’s been perfecting its new weapon war in Kherson (x.com/zarinazabrisky…).
Using deadly drones to besiege whole cities.
Multiple Russian deniable drones over Oslo tonight.
Russia IS attacking us already. Relying on its Fake Nationalist Far Right / Far-Left peace-loving (Fascist Anti-Vaxx flag waving fifth-columns to weaken our responses). It’s yet another mad strategy by Russia that demonstrates its desperation.
At least we have Ukraine which is today laying its first drone siege of Moscow.
⚡️Inevitability Farming.
Authoritarians are addicted to Coercive Control strategies of psychological manipulation.
They create a bad situation for themselves through either congenital incompetence, or strategic mischief.
Then they tell you unless you do X, the bad situation the authoritarian-minded Brexiteer, Ruschist, Trumpist,… is themselves responsible for provoking into being will result in disaster.
Here, Russia invades Ukraine expecting to occupy Kyiv in two weeks and the US to pressure Ukraine into accepting genocide.
Many of us foresaw this would lead to disaster - for the Ruschists.
Ukraine’s first president stated in a 2020 interview:
"I will tell you my opinion. Yes, Russia can foolishly, as they say, go on the offensive. Can. But this will be the last trip for her, after which she will fall to pieces..."
Authoritarians can't correct errors.
Here Russia identifies a problem: Russia can't win in Ukraine.
Yet, if Russia loses in Ukraine, Russia knows Russia’s done for.
Response?
Same response as since Feb '14 when its Crimean Adventure started going south: doubles down, on a bad strategy.
Knowing Ruschia always acts like this is a vulnerability that compromises it. Ukraine must continue drawing Ruschia further on to its complete destruction as a state capable of launching aggressive wars.
⚡️Problem: How Ruschia can turn its hybrid war against the EU into a kinetic war, while still maintaining plausible deniability?
Ruschia destroys its own gas pipeline - Nordstream II then sows Disinfolklore using the firehose of falsehoods. Many can’t understand Ruschia’s obsession with self-wounding (like all authoritarian followers): Ruschia wounds itself, then sings about the grief, while blaming everyone but itself.
Ruschia attempts to assassinate a pro-Ruschia EU prime minister.
Amateurs, stoked by industrial quantities of Disinfolklore, argue (as they do with Nordstream) Ruschia wouldn’t do that: why devour its own ally?
This is what Ruschia does. It has declared a total war against us. All those who collaborate with Ruschia (or authoritarians like Trump) are considered to be its own foot-soldiers. As expendable as the meat it sends to die in Ukraine.
This is the Mana of Ruschism. Once you understand this, you can begin to take appropriate counter measures.
⚡️The Ruining of the Land.
Wasting 40 years of Scotland’s oil gave the appearance of sustainable prosperity in England - Tories are 100% responsible for wasting this £1t bonanza, which Norway still possesses. That most English electors haven’t yet noticed this trickery is unfortunate.
Convincing English electors to elect in 2011 literally the very people who wrought and financially benefited from the 2007 - 2008 financial catastrophe to fix the results of that crash (through Austerity (another Rit infused term the far right adore repeating)) is one of England’s first brushes with hypermodern War Magic (concealing and muddling cause and effect).
Then, those same individuals scapegoated the EU for the consequences of their own failed foreign policy - reining Russia in in Crimea and Syria. Their solution to migration caused by this failure - Brexit - has resulted in further pauperisation and the ruining of the land.
Reform and Tories collective support in the polls ~ 36% demonstrates the victims of this War Magic are still muddled as to the cause of the effects of 13 years of Tories’ rinsing of the Muni out of the community.
⚡️@ChrisMasonBBC still promoting troll the “conservatives” are a “Centre Right” party.
Looking forward to them discovering, he’s been promoting a Far Right party all along, which has ruined England:
200,000 unnecessarily killed in pursuit of mythical ‘herd immunity.’
Constant attacks on human rights. Attempt to destroy the European Union and ruin Ireland.
Thousands of dead migrants, missing migrant children and tens of billions of public money laundered into Tory party funders’ hands.
Destruction of the right to protest.
Undermining the constitutional settlement.
Not holding to account far right politicians like Johnson and Truss who support a 34x convicted criminal and adjudicated r*pist and fraudster to become president of America.
And explicitly using Parliament to breach international law (to name but a few indicators of far rightness).
⚡️‘NATO provoked Ruschia’ - What Nigel Porridge is really selling.
The mental routine ‘She provoked me,’ ‘He made me do it,’ ‘I had no other choice….’
I wrote a whole chapter on this mental routine that’s transmitted into our minds every time someone like Porridge promotes Wife-Beater logic - or as I term it “Provocation Cycle Logic” troll:
Authoritarian followers - 30% of any population sample are high on Altemeyer’s Writ Wing Authoritarian Follower psych scale.
They fail at everything. They need scapegoats. It’s a never ending cycle of disasters and grievance mining.
Their chosen leader though - like Porridge - share their congenital incompetence AND they are also High on the Social Dominance Psych scale.
Their Will To Power is off the charts. No one wants them as leaders. So they need to trick their way into authority. They’re motivated by a Might is Reich ideology. The ends always justify their memes and the means the they use to overcome all obstacles. Violence of all kinds - physical, psychological, sexual, and economic - coercion are Fair Game for them to achieve their aims.
Blaming the victim (Ukraine, England’s post-Brexit impoverished,…) for the problems caused by the aggressor is part of their arsenal: its psychological warfare. And that’s what Porridge and Putin and Trump is communicating.
Their words are bat signals to their 30% of like-minded authoritarian followers. Recruiting Sargents. And, they’re also implanting mental routines in our minds that victims deserve their fate, which at their hands would involve mass human sacrifice, misery, exploitation, and violence of all four kinds.
Focus not on the identities of which ever victims Putin, Trump or Porridge are blaming. It’s the structure of their troll they’re communicating. Understand it, in order to resist its power (Mana).
⚡️Repeating Nigel Porridge’s ‘Provocation’ Trolls Perpetuates Them!
Any of us who repeated - positively or negatively - Nigel Porridge’s ‘Provocation’ logic trolls fell for the troll.
Porridge, like Trump and Putin, is a puppet of oligarchs whose job is to install authoritarian mental routines directly into our minds.
The memes used for this diabolical project always have an outward shell (in that case blaming the victim of Ruschia’s genocide on that genocide), but inside it’s the same Mana: Authoritarian mental routines.
‘She made me do it,’ ‘He deserved it,’ ‘What else could I have done?,’ … ‘I’m worthless.’
Porridges party and the English Tory party despite all the scandals have 39% support, despite:
Profiting from the global financial crisis they caused then introducing austerity to solve it; Brexit has cost England £2t so far; legislating to override international law - 3x;… unnecessarily killing 200,000 by going for mythical herd immunity;… betting on the date of the election instead of preparing their campaigns; installing KGB son in English legislature;…
The English, Russian and American oligarchs who bankroll England’s far right government since 2011 don’t care if you share Porridge’s Provocation logic troll while denigrating it.
They’re winning when you’re being trolled into promoting that mental routine.
Wrote a whole chapter on this mental routine that’s transmitted into our minds every time someone like Porridge promotes Wife-Beater logic - or as I term it “Provocation Cycle Logic” troll: