Ukraine has named its delegation to participate in so-called peace talks in Saudi Arabia next week. Here’s my hot-take: 2019 redux!
Hi there, I'm Decoding Trolls. I wanted to give you my quick take on the proposals Ukraine is going to bring to the so-called peace conference in Saudi Arabia next week. Obviously, my heart and many hearts sink at the prospect of Ukraine surrendering either to Russia or to America's concern trolling about deaths in Ukraine,
especially as credible reports have emerged from the battlefield in Korsk, which suggests that Russia's targeting of Ukrainian forces in Korsk has suddenly improved exponentially. So suddenly improved at the same time that Druity Don's special envoy mentioned that what they are trying to do to Ukraine is what these people would do to a mule who was too stubborn.
Slap them until they moved. And so when we see this intentionality on the side of the American regime under Druid Idon, then when we hear reports from the battlefield in Korsk that suddenly Russia's targeting of Ukrainian positions and the killing of Ukrainian soldiers has improved, we heard similar reports in Avtivka last year under President Biden.
And yet again, we see Russia relying on America to help it out of the whole it has dug for itself by invading a country which will continue to resist. So the two proposals Ukraine says it will bring to the Saudi Arabia peace talks next week are that Ukraine will propose a ceasefire involving a moratorium on the
use of long-range weaponry to hit parts of Russia Last night, there was a hit on a Russian oil refinery some 1,200 kilometers from the border with Ukraine. And the second proposal offer that Ukraine will bring is a moratorium on attacks on the sea, in the Black Sea.
So the team which is going to Saudi Arabia are very experienced with these kinds of negotiations. I was a diplomat in eastern Ukraine between the years of 2015 and 2022. And so I've seen this rodeo before. I've been on this rodeo before, I think is the proper phrase. In the autumn of 2019,
which may be remembered or unnoticed by many people, Moscow, London, Paris, Berlin, and Washington were all ranged against Ukraine. And they were colluding to pressure Ukraine into accepting what was named for the current president of Germany, the Steinmeier. solution. So under the Steinmeier solution, Ukraine would agree to allow Russia to hold elections in Russia-occupied Luhansk,
where I worked between 2015 and 2018, and Russia-occupied Donetsk before Russia gave Ukraine back control of its borders. Essentially, this was the international community colluding with Moscow to get Ukraine to accept the occupation, the brutal genocidal occupation and continued brainwashing of Ukrainians inside Russia-occupied Luhansk and Donetsk by allowing them to hold elections.
At the time, I and a colleague, a former British Army officer, were tasked with working out in rough general terms what it would mean to hold elections in Russia-occupied Luhansk and Donetsk in terms of resources, which elections would be under the OSCE framework for proper free and fair elections.
The first problem was to bring in the 1.5 million Ukrainians who had fled from Russia-occupied Nuhansk and Russia-occupied Donetsk and allowed them to vote. The second problem we worked out would have cost, at the time, the international community around 1.5 billion euros and involved a number of
armoured vehicles and army squadrons in every polling place in Donetsk and Nuhansk, which obviously the Russians wouldn't agree with. And so this was a non-starter. And there was a meeting to be held in December 2019 in Paris with Junsi Putin and the comedian President Zelensky, hosted by Emmanuel Macron. Jupiter is his call sign. And at this meeting,
President Zelensky, who was then perceived by many in the international community as not up to the job and just a mere comedian rather than a great artist, a great business person and a true Ukrainian patriot. And some papers emerged in the weeks before this meeting where the signature, in fact, of Andrei Yermak,
who's the chief of staff still in the president's office, was on documents that suggested Ukraine was going to allow these elections under the Steinmeier solution in Russia-occupied Ukraine. There was a movement, an immediate explosive movement across Ukraine called the No to Capitulation Movement. And many people who concern,
troll about Ukraine or try to pressure President Zelensky or Ukrainians to surrender to Russia just in the name of peace aren't aware that President Zelensky doesn't have the power to impose a peace on his people. He's not an autocrat, even if he wanted to be. And there's no evidence he ever wanted to be.
This note of capitulation movement, I went to many of the demonstrations across Ukraine, involved thousands of people, and they were saying, we will not accept the Steinmeier solution. We will not allow Russia to hold elections in Russia-occupied Ukraine. Flash forward to 2019. It is now 2025.
Russia has killed over a million people of its own people and Ukrainians in the full-scale invasion. And I detect and pick up no sign that Ukrainians are desperate to get peace like they were given under Minsk one and two, like they were pressured into accepting under Minsk one and two. Secondly, I do not actually detect any pressure,
rightly, from the international community except from Washington. So what we see in Washington under Druid Idon and all of these people, these characters around him, including Paul Manafort, who himself, according to his daughters, his own daughters, Paul Manafort, sparked the murder of the 100 protesters in the Maidan in February 2014 as part of a plan.
At the time, Paul Manafort was working for the soon-to-be-impeached Ukrainian President Yanukovych, and Manafort's plan was to spark this violence and these deaths, which would in turn troll European leaders into trolling Ukrainian protesters into surrendering to continued rule by Yanukovych. So a hundred, the heavenly 100, were martyred and killed on the Maidan.
And a year later, we saw in leaked texts from Paul Manafort's daughters that they believed it was Paul Manafort, their father himself, who had advised Yanukovych to follow this strategy, which almost worked because European leaders at the time were pressuring Ukraine into allowing Yanukovych to continue if the protesters would stand down.
But Yanukovych got scared and he ran away. And so the whole master plan fell apart. And then so we flash forward to December 2019 in Paris, where we have this great picture of Macron. with President Zelensky, who's looking extremely devilish and quite rightfully happily,
because he has said in no uncertain terms he laughed when Putin at the press conference after this meeting suggested that Ukraine would allow Russia to hold elections. And Putin looks very embarrassed and very upset. And it's the same team advising President Zelensky now on these so-called peace talks. This is not their first rodeo.
They understand that Druid Idon has just surrendered. He has just capitulated himself and withheld the sanctions against Mexico and against Canada. It is still not impossible that America and Druididon will end up opening the floodgates of aid to Ukraine. It's equally not impossible that Druididon, if he has ordered American military assets to communicate to Russians the exact
coordinates of Ukrainian positions so that Russians can then devastate them. If that is the case, then I would expect someone, as happened, under Druididon's first impeachment when Vindman, who was on the National Security Council in America, he made a confidential complaint which led to Druididon's first impeachment on the
grounds of withholding $270 million worth of javelin missile systems until The comedian, President Zelensky, announced an investigation into President Biden. And that was the basis of the complaint. And it was found to be held. It was held true. in the impeachment trial in the House of Congress.
So it is not impossible that if America is today aiding Russia to kill Ukrainians, that someone who has taken an oath to the Constitution and defend the Constitution of America, someone in the chain of command who is involved in leaking misinformation, if it has been leaked, will themselves make a complaint,
and this will lead to a second impeachment trial of Druididong. However, even if this eventuality does not happen, I do not expect the Ukrainian negotiators in Saudi Arabia next week to capitulate. I expect them to continue doing what they're doing by asking for these two conditions, which is to re-archetype Ukraine in the minds of humanity as strong.
What Russia and what Druididon are colluding in doing is trying to portray Ukraine as weak, as a damsel in distress, when Ukrainians are having to manifest a desire for peace in order to service Druid Idon's addiction to serving Russia's interests. However, I do not detect or pick up any appetite for peace at any price in Ukraine.
In fact, Ukrainians understand in a way that many of us have only recently understood that the use of the term, the use of the moniker, the use of the mantra Peace itself has been repurposed to serve other meanings. And the meaning when Druity John disinfolklore is talking about Ukraine must make peace.
We must hit Ukraine like we would hit a mule until it wants to make peace. What he is really saying is, We want Ukraine to capitulate and surrender. So Ukraine has lost at least 20,000 of its children who are named and known. And it was John C.
Putin and his children's commissioner have this warrants out for their arrest for the forcible transfer of these children, which is the breach of the laws of war. All of us who spend our days understanding what's going on on the battle line and following it, we remember all of the atrocities and the people murdered by the Russians.
And if I remember them as a foreigner, Novokokovka Dam, the killing of Lisa in Venezia, the terrible revelations of the torture chambers when Russia ran away from Kherson, when it ran away from Kutiansk, from Kharkiv. And all of the awful atrocities, the destruction of the children's hospital in Kiev, the maiming of children.
And no one in the world wants peace more than Ukrainians. But equally, no one in the world understands what it will take to bring peace than Ukrainians. So I'm not too concerned that Ukraine will surrender to Druid Udall. I think he's going to get a rude awakening, which is, in his mind, he is still archetyping,
and he gets this probably from the Russians, Ukraine as a weak damsel in distress and Russia as invincible. Whereas those of us who understand Russia's weakness and understand and see Russia using donkeys on the front line and talk about mules, it's Russia which is using mules on the front line to transport its goods because
it doesn't have the vehicles. And it thinks they're more expendable than humans are because they're, in the Russian mind, they're poor animals. They're just animals, but they are poor animals. So it's Russia which is the mule. And I think through the dawn, distant folklore himself will discover that just as America and Russia could not
He could not pacify Afghanistan or indeed Iraq, and Russia couldn't pacify Syria and all of these other countries. After three years of war, Ukraine's capabilities are much greater than they were even in February 2022. And Rudy Don will have a rude awakening when he finally understands that Ukraine is
will not surrender to his diktats about what it takes piece. This concern trolling at a geopolitical level won't wash. It doesn't wash with any of the European leaders as far as I can see. They see through it, which is very different from 2019. It's very different from the situation of the Maidan in 2014. We see publicly,
and I see no cracks or nothing emerging, European leaders like President Macron, who have been also at this rodeo a few times before, supporting Ukraine, and all of whom will understand that if Russia is not stopped in Ukraine, and if it has a chance to rearm and a ceasefire in Ukraine, a chance to rearm,
it will come for all of our children and it will move into Poland and Hungary and Bulgaria, et cetera. It's already dominating our information space and the minds of humanity through Elon Musk and Druid Idon, who appear to be Russian agents by proxy just because they speak with American
accents and they appear to be American or South African. oligarchs doesn't mean that they are not executing policies which have been on Russia's wish list for a century or even longer in every dimension, from collapsing America's force power to stopping America's participation in NATO exercise, talking about withdrawing United States troops from Germany and sending them into Hungary,
and frankly speaking, all of these terrible reports we are seeing of late, which suggests if I see them, then I'm sure the Ukrainian leadership sees them and understands who it's negotiating with. So my final summary conclusion of these peace talks, I'm not worried about them. I don't think Ukraine is going to be forced into capitulating.
It can argue about the size of the table. for years. And if Druididong gets impatient, then the more he tries to pressure Ukraine than by, for instance, helping Russia with targeting, the more pressure will be on him inside America. And just as he learned or didn't learn with the first impeachment,
he will understand that tangling with Ukraine and not supporting Ukraine is a real fatal error. It really is. By contrast, supporting Ukraine and helping to smite the Russia's menace on our continent and in our minds, by contrast, that is an easy win. We have this amazing country,
these amazing people who are fighting to the death to resist Russism and to beat Russism in Ukraine before it further invades our own info space, our own land, and takes up our own mental space and our children in the endless wars which it was,
that the easiest thing to do is for Druid Idon to turn his coat and support France, support Germany, support Britain and Italy in supporting Ukraine. until it finally exits Russia from 100% of Ukraine. Only that will end the war and tens of thousands of drones a night which Ukraine
will be able to send across Russia if Russia breaches the ceasefire, which must include an armed element but also an information warfare element. Russia has voluntarily entered into legal obligations not to interfere in any country's internal affairs. It's part of its OSCE membership application. And by interfering in all of these elections in Romania, in America, in Ukraine,
in Britain, and in France, and in other countries, Russia is breaching its own voluntarily entered into obligations. And the response to these must be both kinetic and informational. And Ukraine, with a ceasefire after Russia leaves 100% of Ukraine, will have the power, through its world-class drone warfare capabilities,
of imposing conditions on Russia every time it breaches the ceasefire, as it has done continually in the past and we cannot allow this to happen again. So I look forward to hearing your views in the comments and thanks very much.
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